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    Sun 03/19 | 11:10 PM UTC | Denver
    SpreadMoney Lineo/u
    Creighton Bluejays 24-12, 19-17 ATS
    CREIGH -2-110
    CREIGH -130
    Over 143-110
    Baylor Bears 23-10, 17-15 ATS
    BAYLOR +2-110
    BAYLOR +110
    Under 143-110

    Expert Picks

    CBB | Creighton 85 @ Baylor 76 | 03/19 | 11:10 PM UTC

    Creighton PK -110

    WIN

    ANALYSIS: I bought a Final Four ticket on Creighton back in May when South Dakota State star Baylor Scheierman, the 2021-22 Summit League Player of the Year, announced he was transferring there, and a path to the Elite Eight is certainly wide open as Creighton would play No. 15 Princeton with a win here. The Bluejays are just 1-11 in their second NCAA Tournament game of an appearance, but who on Baylor can deal with 7-footer and Big East Defensive Player of the Year Ryan Kalbrenner? In Round 1 against NC State, he was 11-for-14 from the field for 31 points and leads the nation in shooting at 71.7%. Creighton doesn't have much of a bench so it needs to stay out of foul trouble but will advance if it does. Overall in KenPom, Creighton ranks 13th while Baylor ranks 15th.

    author-image

    Matt Severance

    Severance Pays
    +2021 174-111-1 IN LAST 286 CBB PICKS
    +1155 71-54-1 IN LAST 126 CBB ATS PICKS
    +280 5-2 IN LAST 7 BAYLOR ATS PICKS
    +190 3-1 IN LAST 4 CREIGH ATS PICKS

    Season Splits

    24-12, 19-17 ATS
    23-10, 17-15 ATS
    All Games
    ALL
    All Games
    50%
    17-17
    17-15-1
    53%
    On Road or Neutral
    LOCATION
    On Road or Neutral
    52%
    10-9
    7-8-1
    46%
    As Underdog or PK
    STATUS
    As Favorite
    40%
    2-3
    14-13-1
    51%
    When Spread was -1 to +3
    SPREAD
    When Spread was -3 to +1
    0%
    0-1
    4-2-1
    66%
    As Road Underdog
    LOCATION & STATUS
    Favored on Road or Neutral
    40%
    2-3
    4-6-1
    40%
    vs Teams That Win >65% of Games
    OPP WIN%
    vs Teams That Win 50-65% of Games
    47%
    8-9
    8-2-1
    80%
    vs Teams Allowing 67 to 72 PPG
    OPP DEFENSE
    vs Teams Allowing 67 to 72 PPG
    33%
    3-6
    6-3
    66%
    After <4 Days Off
    REST
    After <4 Days Off
    43%
    7-9
    9-6
    60%
    vs BAYLOR
    HEAD TO HEAD
    vs CREIGH
    0%
    0-0
    0-0
    0%