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Sun 03/19 | 11:10 PM UTC | Denver
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Creighton Bluejays 23-12, 18-17 ATS
CREIGH -2-110
CREIGH -130
Over 143-110
Baylor Bears 23-10, 17-15 ATS
BAYLOR +2-110
BAYLOR +110
Under 143-110

Expert Picks

CBB | Creighton 85 @ Baylor 76 | 03/19 | 11:10 PM UTC

Creighton PK

WIN

ANALYSIS: I bought a Final Four ticket on Creighton back in May when South Dakota State star Baylor Scheierman, the 2021-22 Summit League Player of the Year, announced he was transferring there, and a path to the Elite Eight is certainly wide open as Creighton would play No. 15 Princeton with a win here. The Bluejays are just 1-11 in their second NCAA Tournament game of an appearance, but who on Baylor can deal with 7-footer and Big East Defensive Player of the Year Ryan Kalbrenner? In Round 1 against NC State, he was 11-for-14 from the field for 31 points and leads the nation in shooting at 71.7%. Creighton doesn't have much of a bench so it needs to stay out of foul trouble but will advance if it does. Overall in KenPom, Creighton ranks 13th while Baylor ranks 15th.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+2008 170-108-1 IN LAST 279 CBB PICKS
+1165 70-53-1 IN LAST 124 CBB ATS PICKS
+280 5-2 IN LAST 7 BAYLOR ATS PICKS
+190 3-1 IN LAST 4 CREIGH ATS PICKS

Season Splits

23-12, 18-17 ATS
23-10, 17-15 ATS
All Games
ALL
All Games
50%
17-17
17-15-1
53%
On Road or Neutral
LOCATION
On Road or Neutral
52%
10-9
7-8-1
46%
As Underdog or PK
STATUS
As Favorite
40%
2-3
14-13-1
51%
When Spread was -1 to +3
SPREAD
When Spread was -3 to +1
0%
0-1
4-2-1
66%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
Favored on Road or Neutral
40%
2-3
4-6-1
40%
vs Teams That Win >65% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 50-65% of Games
47%
8-9
8-2-1
80%
vs Teams Allowing 67 to 72 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 67 to 72 PPG
33%
3-6
6-3
66%
After <4 Days Off
REST
After <4 Days Off
43%
7-9
9-6
60%
vs BAYLOR
HEAD TO HEAD
vs CREIGH
0%
0-0
0-0
0%