Blindly taking underdogs in ACC play isn't the worst move in the world this season, but more than anything I can't trust Virginia as this large a favorite. The Cavs just aren't good enough offensively, and while Florida State struggles itself, the Noles are good enough defensively to keep this close.

Fading the Seminoles in this spot. They are 1-8 SU and 0-9 ATS in their last nine games, including 0-5 SU and ATS on the road. On the other hand, the Cavaliers are 5-2 SU and 6-1 ATS in their last seven games, including 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS at home. The Seminoles offense should struggle to do anything against the Cavs defense. Virginia will dominate this game and cover the spread against the slumping Seminoles.