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Thu, Jun 0811:10 pm UTCProgressive Field
63 F
Track OnCBS Sports
Boston
Red Sox
BOS
Last 5 ML
W/L78-83
ATS60-66
O/U60-63-3
FINAL SCORE
3
-
10
Cleveland
Guardians
CLE
Last 5 ML
W/L76-85
ATS67-60
O/U57-68-2
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ML
78-83
Win /Loss
76-85
60-66
Spread
67-60
60-63-3
Over / Under
57-68-2
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
BOS @ CLE
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MONEYLINE
BOS @ CLE
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OVER / UNDER
BOS @ CLE
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0%
PUBLIC
0%
MONEY
0%
PUBLIC
0%
MONEY
Over0%
PUBLIC
Under0%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Money LineCleveland -155
WIN
Unit1.0
+2324
59-25 in Last 84 CLE ML Picks
Matt's Analysis:

Chasing while furious the Rockies blew a sure RL cover against the Giants because Bud Black decided to use Mrs. Doubtfire in the ninth instead of, you know, his good closer in Daniel Bard (was available). Speechless, and Black should be glad I don't live in Denver because just got my monthly toilet paper sub from Amazon so I got plenty to use!! Sox starter Matt Dermody has a career 5.60 ERA in 27.1 MLB relief innings and a 4.50 ERA at Triple-A this season. Leadoff hitter Alex Verdugo is out. Cleveland's Aaron Civale is 23-1 with a 3.19 ERA when he receives at least 3 runs of support; Cleveland is 31-4 in them. I expect at least 3 runs scored.

Pick Made: Jun 08, 10:16 pm UTC on WHNJ
Money LineBoston +115
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1340
24-10 in Last 34 MLB Picks
+580.5
14-8 in Last 22 MLB ML Picks
+429
9-4 in Last 13 BOS ML Picks
Mike's Analysis:

Always shop for the best line as I've played this personally at +120 this morning. The Guardians continue to struggle as they rank 28th vs. LHP and 29th vs. RHP in wOBA and wRC+. This is a nice matchup for the Red Sox against Aaron Civale, who really lacks strikeout upside to help get himself out of trouble against good-hitting teams. I have the Red Sox winning 51 percent of simulations, which makes my line -104.

Pick Made: Jun 08, 1:28 pm UTC on WHNJ

Team Injuries

Boston Red Sox
Friday, May 16, 2025
Avatar
SP
Kutter Crawford
KneeIl
Avatar
1B
Romy Gonzalez
BackIl
Avatar
DH
Masataka Yoshida
ShoulderIl
Avatar
SP
Richard Fitts
PectoralIl
Wednesday, May 14, 2025
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C
Seby Zavala
ObliqueIl
Avatar
SP
Tanner Houck
ElbowIl
Tuesday, May 13, 2025
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RP
Hobie Harris
ShoulderIl
Monday, May 12, 2025
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2B
Tyler McDonough
UndisclosedIl
Saturday, May 10, 2025
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SP
Walker Buehler
ShoulderIl
Thursday, May 08, 2025
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1B
Triston Casas
KneeIl
Thursday, Mar 27, 2025
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RP
Chris Murphy
ElbowIl
Avatar
RP
Jovani Moran
ElbowIl
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RP
Zach Penrod
ElbowIl
Monday, Feb 17, 2025
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SP
Patrick Sandoval
ElbowIl
Cleveland Guardians
Thursday, May 15, 2025
Avatar
CF
George Valera
KneeIl
Avatar
CF
Micah Pries
CalfIl
Wednesday, May 14, 2025
Avatar
SP
Shane Bieber
ElbowIl
Avatar
CF
Lane Thomas
WristIl
Avatar
SP
Slade Cecconi
ObliqueIl
Tuesday, May 13, 2025
Avatar
SP
Ben Lively
ForearmIl
Monday, May 05, 2025
Avatar
RP
Paul Sewald
ShoulderIl
Monday, Apr 28, 2025
Avatar
SP
Jack Leftwich
UndisclosedIl
Avatar
RP
Trevor Stephan
ElbowIl
Saturday, Apr 26, 2025
Avatar
RP
Erik Sabrowski
ElbowIl
Tuesday, Apr 08, 2025
Avatar
SP
John Means
ElbowIl
Saturday, Mar 29, 2025
Avatar
C
David Fry
ElbowIl
Monday, Feb 17, 2025
Avatar
RP
Sam Hentges
ShoulderIl

Season Splits

All Games
ALL
All Games
50%
31-31, +118
28-33, -730
45%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
48%
14-15, +55
13-16, -461
44%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
45%
17-20, +142
16-17, -538
48%
When Line was +115 to +145
MONEY LINE
When Line was -167 to -137
52%
9-8, +426
4-2, +65
66%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
42%
9-12, -32
9-11, -436
45%
vs Teams That Win <46% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
46%
7-8, -122
9-12, -354
42%
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
62%
5-3, +217
18-24, -886
42%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
45%
20-24, -183
20-19, -27
51%
vs CLE
HEAD TO HEAD
vs BOS
60%
3-2, +56
2-3, -147
40%
when Matt Dermody starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Aaron Civale starts
0%
0-0, 0
1-2, -84
33%
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