Davante Adams 2022 NFL odds, props: Brett Favre expects dip for Adams with Raiders; what do sportsbooks and SportsLine Projection Model project?
How will Raiders receiver Davante Adams fare without Aaron Rodgers as his QB?
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Recently, former Green Bay quarterback and Hall of Famer Brett Favre was asked how he thought ex-Packers All-Pro receiver Davante Adams would fare now that he has left four-time NFL MVP Aaron Rodgers for Derek Carr and the Las Vegas Raiders. Favre expects a dip in production for Adams, so let's examine what numbers the sportsbooks and SportsLine's Fantasy Projections are projecting.
Here is what Favre, never afraid to speak his mind, told TMZ: "No disrespect to Davante at all. Zero disrespect. I do think that Davante will make Derek Carr better, and, in time, they will be a dynamic duo. Now will it be the duo that Aaron and Davante had? I think time will tell. Derek Carr's a very good quarterback, but he's not in Aaron's league — yet. He may never be. That's no disrespect either. …
"But I do think Davante owes a great deal of gratitude to Aaron, and the Packers [for] drafting him. That's not to say he's not a great player, because he's a tremendous player. We'll see that with Las Vegas, but it's just hard to shift gears, especially from a player as prolific as Aaron Rodgers. I'd be shocked if he has the same year he's had in previous years."
We should note that it's not like Adams doesn't know Carr: They starred together at Fresno State. With Carr as his QB, Adams set school records for receptions (233) and receiving touchdowns (38) despite playing just two seasons for the Bulldogs.
In Green Bay, Adams was a five-time Pro Bowler and two-time All-Pro. He set a franchise single-season record with both 123 receptions and 1,553 receiving yards last year, adding 11 receiving touchdowns. His 18 receiving touchdowns in 2020 tied for first in franchise history.
Adams has never led the NFL in receiving yards and is a +1100 third favorite at Caesars Sportsbook behind the Rams' Cooper Kupp (+800) and Vikings' Justin Jefferson (+800) to do so this season. DraftKings lists Adams as a +750 fourth favorite to lead the league in TD catches, and Adams tied for the lead in 2020 with those 18. Adams is +900 to lead the league in catches, which he has yet to do.
Overall, Adams is given totals of 99.5 receptions, 1,200.5 yards and 10.5 TD catches – I assure you that the Raiders would be thrilled with those numbers but, yeah, it's a dip. Hard to match what Adams did in 2021 no matter his QB.
The SportsLine Projection Model projects Adams at 118 receptions, 1,497 receiving yards and eight TDs. The Raiders don't play the Packers this season… unless they meet up in Super Bowl 57.
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