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    Fri 12/23 | 1:15 AM UTC | E. Rutherford
    SpreadMoney Lineo/u
    Jacksonville Jaguars 10-9, 10-9 ATS
    JAC +2.5-105
    JAC +122
    Over 36.5-110
    N.Y. Jets 7-10, 8-9 ATS
    NYJ -2.5-115
    NYJ -145
    Under 36.5-110

    Expert Picks

    NFL | Jacksonville 19 @ N.Y. Jets 3 | 12/23 | 1:15 AM UTC

    Trevor Lawrence OVER 12.5 Total Rushing Yards -111

    WIN

    ANALYSIS: For the same reason I went under on Jags wideout Christian Kirk, I'm going over Lawrence on rushing yards as he's going to surely struggle through the air against that terrific Jets secondary and with the brutal weather conditions. Lawrence averages 3.5 yards per carry so he only needs to average 4 per and this skates over. Lawrence's 4.9 yards per rush this season is actually better than MVP candidate Jalen Hurts (4.8 ypc).

    Season Splits

    10-9, 10-9 ATS
    7-10, 8-9 ATS
    All Games
    ALL
    All Games
    43%
    6-8
    8-6
    57%
    On Road
    LOCATION
    At Home
    25%
    2-6
    3-4
    43%
    As Underdog or PK
    STATUS
    As Favorite
    54%
    6-5
    2-1
    67%
    When Spread was +1 to +4
    SPREAD
    When Spread was -4 to -1
    62%
    5-3
    1-1
    50%
    As Road Underdog
    LOCATION & STATUS
    As Home Favorite
    29%
    2-5
    1-1
    50%
    vs Teams That Win 40-55% of Games
    OPP WIN%
    vs Teams That Win 40-55% of Games
    50%
    1-1
    0-2
    0%
    vs Teams Allowing <21 PPG
    OPP DEFENSE
    vs Teams Allowing 21 to 25 PPG
    50%
    4-4
    4-2
    67%
    After <=8 Days Off
    REST
    After <=8 Days Off
    42%
    5-7
    8-4
    67%
    vs NYJ
    HEAD TO HEAD
    vs JAC
    0%
    0-0
    0-0
    0%