Expert Picks
NFL | Houston 15 @ Miami 30 | 11/27 | 6:00 PM UTC
Miami -12
WIN
ANALYSIS: The Texans might switch QBs, elevating Kyle Allen over Davis Mills, but it shouldn't make a difference. They gave their best player, Dameon Pierce, just 10 carries in last week's 23-10 home loss to Washington, and the No. 3 overall pick, corner Derek Stingley Jr., might sit out again with a hamstring issue. That likely would prove fatal versus the high-flying Dolphins. Miami comes off its bye with Tua Tagovailoa leading the NFL in passer rating (118.4). Houston averages 15.9 points per game. I'll bank on Miami getting into the 30s with Mike McDaniel staying aggressive.
Larry Hartstein
Senior Analyst
Season Splits
2-13, 7-8 ATS
9-8, 9-8 ATS
All Games
ALL
All Games
44%
4-5-1
5-5
50%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
50%
2-2-1
3-2
60%
As Underdog or PK
STATUS
As Favorite
44%
4-5-1
3-3
50%
When Spread was +12.5 to +15.5
SPREAD
When Spread was -15.5 to -12.5
100%
1-0
0-0
0%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
50%
2-2-1
2-1
67%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win <40% of Games
33%
1-2
2-3
40%
vs Teams Allowing 21 to 25 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 21 to 25 PPG
0%
0-2
1-2
33%
After <=8 Days Off
REST
After >8 Days Off
50%
3-3-1
1-1
50%
vs MIA
HEAD TO HEAD
vs HOU
0%
0-0
0-0
0%