ANALYSIS: It looked like this spread was going to slide to a flat -7, but the hook is hanging on, so keep an eye on it ahead of kickoff. The Packers under Aaron Rodgers cover 70% of their home games when the spread is less than two touchdowns, and they’re 6-0 ATS overall at home this year. Green Bay enters as the far superior team, the exact type of opponent Cleveland struggles against. The Packers defense has fallen off significantly over the last three weeks, but I don’t see Baker Mayfield & Co. being in position to take advantage due to their lack of weapons. Slow down Nick Chubb, win by double digits and get that No. 1 seed. Back the Pack.