Sacto seems to have put the bit between its teeth with back-to-back wins, including Sunday at Cleveland. Now, the Kings are close to securing their spot in the West play-in round, and a faster finish improves the chance of being at home in the 9-10 game. Zach LaVine seems ready, scoring 37 at Rocket Arena on Sunday. Meanwhile, the Pistons are safely into the playoff field, motivated now by finishing fifth (ahead of the Bucks) or sixth, but losses in three of four, albeit vs. tough opposition, suggests Detroit might have subconsciously geared things down in preparation for its return to the playoffs. The only mystery is whether the Pacers or Knicks will be the first-round foe. Play Kings.

The Kings have been brutal in the second leg of back to backs (3-12 ATS), with defense failing. With both teams fighting for playoff seed and a young Pistons team not covering well lately, I'm honing in on their elite offense instead. The Pistons are averaging 120/G in their last 10 at home, and they want to go into the playoffs with gusto. The Kings' last 5 of back-to-backs have allowed: 121, 128, 122, 133, 140. Could be a shootout here and I expect DET to be ready. DET is playing the 4th highest pace in the NBA at home over the last 15 games. The Kings are 26th in opponent 3-pt% on the road over the last 15 games.