This number doesn’t make sense against the Bulls team 26th in pace, good D guards and with Trey Young taking away shots.

Vooch struggles v Capella. The line has not baked this into the equation. Plus, while playoff games mean shorter benches, Andre Drummond is a quality backup and shouldn’t get less min. Half unit

Young has yet to clip this threshold in the three games since his return from a finger injury, But he has been on limited minutes in an attempt to build back his game shape and essentially prepare for a heavy workload in this play-in clunker between two depth-lacking teams. Despite his sometimes-erratic ways, Young has averaged more than 26 points in 27 playoff games and there's little doubt he'll take over as the top option in this do-or-die format. Take the Over on this modest total.

The Hawks have an explosive offensive backcourt, so I expect big minutes from Alex Caruso, the Bulls' All-Defensive First Teamer. He's gone Over this prop number in three straight while playing 37, 34 and 41 minutes. Ayo Dosunmo (quad) is considered a gametime decision after missing four straight games. If he can't go, then Caruso will be needed even more.

1. Bulls play slow. Dead slow. Titanic “iceberg right ahead” slow. 2. The Bulls strength is the backcourt D which should help neutralize the Hawks strength of small shooters (see ice trey).

This is a big number for Vucevic who averages approximately 18.0 PPG on the season. I don't anticipate Vucevic getting a big bump in playing time considering his backup Andre Drummond is one of the top backup bigs in the league and gives Chicago some quality minutes off the bench. I would also argue this isn't an easy matchup for Vooch, despite Atlanta's defense being poor. Hawks Center Clint Capela is far and away the Hawks best defender and has held Vooch to 21 points or fewer in seven consecutive matchups. The Hawks have done a good job limiting opposing Centers throughout the majority of the season and I think that will be the case in this matchup as well.

Dejounte Murray has been a PRA machine since Trae Young suffered a lengthy midseason absence. Both Young and Murray are high usage players and without Young on the floor, Dejounte averaged a combined 40 PRA, compared to 31.1 PRA with Young active. The pair have played just 2 games together since Trae has returned to the lineup and while Young hasn't had big scoring output, he's still extremely ball dominant and Murray is relegated to a secondary role. This game is also going to be paced down against a Bulls team that ranks 24th in Pace and has been excellent defending opposing guards all season.

Both of these teams essentially took the final 3-4 games off knowing they were basically locked into a play-in spot. Hawks got a little time to work Trae Young back in and I like what we saw - getting in where he fits in rather than chucking up 30 shots. Hawks found a sound style of play without him that can work at CHI, where they just outclassed the Bulls a few weeks back. ATL shot ball well vs CHI despite losing twice. Gained confidence sweeping BOS, and pushing MIL, DAL and DEN late. CHI doesn't do anything particularly well, 18-22-1 ATS at home, 8-13 as home favorite. ATL can run and gun them early to play with a lead. Hawks will be loose.

Atlanta goes into the play in with a record of just 36 and 46. At ten games below .500 they lost the final six games of the season. Yet, this team has adapted after missing Trae Young for nearly two months. Furthermore, Chicago is a team they defeated at the United Center on April 1st by a margin of twelve points. Grab the generous amount of points here on the Hawks side.