It's Toronto's home finale so at least some motivation on the Raptors' side, and they have won back-to-back games for the first time in weeks. All three games of the season series vs. Indiana have been decided by eight points or fewer. The Pacers don't need style points here -- just get the W and get out of Canada healthy.

This is a massive RA line for Kelly Olynyk who averages approximately 9.7 RA on the season. Even as a starter Olynyk 12.1 RA, so we are clearly getting a massively inflated combo line. The Pacers do play at the second fastest pace which does provide additional possessions which result in extra opportunities. Despite the extra possessions, Indiana surrenders essentially the league average in RA to opposing Centers. As I mentioned with Gary Trent there is also some significant blowout risk attached to this play as well.

This is a big, big number for Gary Trent Jr. who averages 13.7 PPG on the season. Trent has been getting a big increase in playing time and usage as the Raptors having essentially called it a season and are largely focusing on developing young players while simultaneously collecting lottery balls. Even in a plus match up this is an inflated line and there is also some serious blowout risk as well.

Indiana is flawed by suspect rebounding and getting beat up in the paint. Toronto is fatally flawed in those departments is one of few teams worse than Indiania. Toronto doesn't play a lick of defense though a healthier backcourt now does facilitate scoring. TOR 4-11 ATS as home dog, 14-26 ATS at home overall and have 3 totals covers since 3/11 - two are vs the broken Wizards. TOR did finally snap its home losing streak but is 1-10 ATS last 11 at home, with an average cover margin of -10. Pacers 6-4 ATS Last 10, can run and gun and light it up and want to avoid play-in game. 1 game up right now. IND won last time by 8 vs healthier Raptors side