I'm a tad surprised this only dropped from Thunder -6.5 to -4.5 with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ruled out. Yeah, the Rockets have been pretty bad overall on the road this season but also enter having won nine in a row overall and four of those away. They need every single W as they chase a play-in spot. It's the second of a B2B for OKC, which had to play to the buzzer Tuesday to beat New Orleans and then travel.

Jalen Green is playing some very good basketball and has been on ab absolute tear during the month of March. While its certainly an impressive run and Green is talented and skilled enough to have taken another step in his development, I believe hes performing above expectations and is a regression candidate. I also believe the Thunder have the personnel to make life difficult on Green and this total is so high that it would require him to continue to shoot at an unsustainable clip out in order to eclipse this line.

The rookie's shooting has tailed off after a boost when his minutes went up after HOU lost its center, but his rebounding still carries. This kid can leap and is very active and OKC is playing back to back after being pushed to the limit at New Orleans Tues. Might be some tired legs. OKC 28th in rebounding % for the season (although up to 18th in March) and 24th in opponent rebounding and been getting bullied lately. Thompson has 6 straight games with 8+ rebounds and is over this in 3 of the last 4. If this becomes a track meet could see OKC's shooting wavering late, creating more rebounding opportunities.