Luka is Q…..Sac D is very very good. Half unit

Kinda thought Dallas might eventually list Luka Doncic as questionable today after he played 41 minutes on Monday in a win at Utah, so it's a tough road/road back-to-back for the Mavs. I still think he probably plays and that's why this ML didn't jump much but on the off chance he doesn't, we'll throw a sprinkle down. The Kings are in the second of a B2B as well but didn't have to travel and are 2-0 vs. the Mavs this year. They could earn a potentially huge tiebreaker with a win tonight.

Recent scorelines highlight the lower-scoring trends each way here as these sides have accounted for plenty of "under" results in March. It's generally working for both, too, especially Dallas, which has won four straight, "under" in each of those as well as six of the past seven games for the Mavs. Meanwhile, Sacto's "under" trending parallels in recent weeks, "under" in four straight and eight of the last nine. Defense has been key for the Kings, haven't allowed more than 112 points across any of their past nine games. Play Mavs-Kings "Under"

Back to back for two teams whose true success wont be measured til the playoffs. Luka played 41 mins Mon and Kyrie played 36. Sabonis played 33 (foul trouble) but played a ton on road trip and Fox and Murray played 37+. SAC under 4 in a row and 8 of 10. Last 10 Kings games avg 220 points, with an avg O/U of 229. DAL under 7-3 last 10 (Overs vs run and gun OKC and IND and blowout win of fading DET). Last 10 Mavs games avg 228 points, with an avg O/U of 236. Fewer trips to foul line recently leaguewide. DAL played in altitude at Utah. Last SAC/DAL wasn't a double back-to-back (just DAL). Scored 235 with an O/U of 245.5.