The pacers play fast, they don’t stop Yannis. The Greek freak has his best numbers v Indy. And while it’s a back to back he only played 22 min so I feel great about this. It was 26.5 early in the day, but I’ll still go at 29.5.

Damian Lillard has just been ruled out -- for full transparency, this has dropped to pick'em at DraftKings and I'm playing that number; just don't have time to wait for SL system as the pick deadline is near -- so we'll take a shot even though the Greek Freak probably will be crazy motivated after being ejected from Wednesday's game.

Milwaukee needs the same strong start Thursday that it had versus the Pistons. The Pacers do not guard and the Bucks need to bang down some open 3s.

The Bucks have failed to cover this season. This ends Thursday against a Pacers team that can certainly score but whose defense is optional. This Bucks team has too many weapons to miss open shots constantly. Lay the points.

The way these teams are scoring points, this low 240s total hardly seems prohibitive. The Bucks are not playing defense the way they did under Mike Budenholzer, when consistently ranking near the top of the charts on the stop end; under Adrian Griffin, Milwaukee now close to the bottom defensively. As for the go-go Pacers, they're over five straight and seven of eight this season! Play Bucks-Pacers Over

Analysis to come.