Jackson should fall short of this number. No Draymond Green and no JMurray will not help him. I project a number closer to 5. Very nice value here.

Is Jamal Murray for Draymond Green a fair swap in terms of All-Stars being ruled out? I actually think it's pretty close for all that Green does, especially defensively. If Green wasn't out, I probably don't play this (he definitely would have helped on Nikola Jokic). Gary Payton II is out as well for the Dubs so their defense is definitely lessened.

The Warriors are in Denver tonight and you know what time it is...the big fella Nikola Jokic from downtown. A marquee game in primetime and Golden State looking to push the pace, exactly what we want. Jokic loves games like this, we should see a nice uptick in shots from him behind the arc and as always only need two to fall for plus money. Let's go.

This is a hefty combo line for Reggie Jackson who is starting in place of Jamal Murray after suffering a hamstring strain. Jackson is averaging a combined 5.0 RA this season. He has been held under this line in 7/8 appearances this season. Jackson is only playing a few additional minutes per night with Murray on the shelf and I believe his insertion into the starting lineup actually decreases his assist potential as he is not the primary ball handler, like he would be playing with the second unit. The Warriors allow the second fewest combined RA to opposing backcourts. Finally, both of these teams rank in the bottom 10 in PACE which ultimately limits possessions and opportunities.