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    Sat 01/28 | 12:30 AM UTC | Minneapolis
    SpreadMoney Lineo/u
    Memphis Grizzlies 53-34, 39-45 ATS
    MEM -1-110
    MEM -115
    Over 236-110
    Minnesota Timberwolves 44-44, 43-45 ATS
    MIN +1-110
    MIN -105
    Under 236-110

    Expert Picks

    NBA | Memphis 100 @ Minnesota 111 | 01/28 | 12:30 AM UTC

    Minnesota +2.5 -110

    WIN

    ANALYSIS: Our deadline for picks is generally 30 minutes before tip but I had to push it a few minutes waiting on Rudy Gobert's status. It's the end of a five-game trip for the Grizzlies and maybe a flat spot off having a chance to win late at Golden State on Wednesday and coming up short. We knew Steven Adams was out but now so is second-leading scorer Desmond Bane (plus reserve John Konchar again). Gobert was iffy but will play and should have his way on the boards with no Adams. Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its past five vs. teams with a winning record.

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    Matt Severance

    Severance Pays
    +3489 106-56-1 IN LAST 163 NBA PICKS
    +90 2-1 IN LAST 3 NBA ATS PICKS
    +80 3-2 IN LAST 5 MIN ATS PICKS
    +1680 32-12 on NBA Props Picks

    Season Splits

    53-34, 39-45 ATS
    44-44, 43-45 ATS
    All Games
    ALL
    All Games
    51%
    23-22-3
    23-27
    46%
    On Road
    LOCATION
    At Home
    39%
    9-14-2
    13-13
    50%
    As Favorite
    STATUS
    As Underdog or PK
    54%
    20-17-3
    13-11
    54%
    When Spread was -4 to -1
    SPREAD
    When Spread was +1 to +4
    57%
    8-6
    8-7
    53%
    As Road Favorite
    LOCATION & STATUS
    As Home Underdog
    47%
    8-9-2
    7-3
    70%
    vs Teams That Win 45-55% of Games
    OPP WIN%
    vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
    58%
    10-7
    9-9
    50%
    vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
    OPP DEFENSE
    vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
    53%
    23-20-2
    23-24
    48%
    After a Day Off
    REST
    After a Day Off
    50%
    19-19-3
    19-23
    45%
    vs MIN
    HEAD TO HEAD
    vs MEM
    50%
    1-1
    1-1
    50%