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Wed 12/07 | 12:30 AM UTC | Miami
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Detroit Pistons 13-39, 22-28 ATS
DET +8-110
DET +250
Over 220-110
Miami Heat 28-23, 19-29 ATS
MIA -8-110
MIA -320
Under 220-110

Expert Picks

NBA | Detroit 116 @ Miami 96 | 12/07 | 12:30 AM UTC

Detroit +8.5

WIN

ANALYSIS: The Heat just played Monday in what turned out to be an embarrassing loss to a Grizzlies team that was without Ja Morant, Jaren Jackson Jr., Desmond Bane and John Konchar. The Heat are 1-3 against the spread in the second game of a back-to-back set, partially because they tend to rest players. Jimmy Butler recently missed seven games with a knee injury, so he could sit this one out. So could Tyler Herro, who has also missed time with injuries. The Heat are 4-5 in games in which Butler has missed this season and none of their four wins came by more than eight points. I’m jumping on this early because the line could move significantly if the Heat start to rule out players.

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Mike Barner

NBA Specialist
+180 4-2 IN LAST 6 NBA PICKS
+950 15-5-1 IN LAST 21 DET ATS PICKS
+1025 40-27 IN LAST 67 MIA ATS PICKS

Season Splits

13-39, 22-28 ATS
28-23, 19-29 ATS
All Games
ALL
All Games
50%
12-12-1
8-15-1
34%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
46%
6-7
3-8-1
27%
As Underdog or PK
STATUS
As Favorite
50%
11-11-1
4-10-1
28%
When Spread was +6 to +9
SPREAD
When Spread was -9 to -6
33%
3-6-1
0-1
0%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
50%
6-6
3-7-1
30%
vs Teams That Win 45-55% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win <45% of Games
66%
4-2
2-5
28%
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
50%
11-11-1
8-13-1
38%
After a Day Off
REST
in 2nd Game of Back-to-Back
47%
9-10
1-3
25%
vs MIA
HEAD TO HEAD
vs DET
0%
0-0
0-0
0%