The Grizzlies raced out to a huge first quarter lead in their first play-in game against the Spurs, only to have to hold on late for the win. Memphis had trouble with the Warriors when these two teams met last Sunday, losing by 12 points on the road. The Warriors are a sparkling 23-13 ATS at home this season and have the playoff-tested duo of Stephen Curry and Draymond Green leading the way, so I like them to lock up the eighth seed and cover this line.
These teams just played a very important game in San Francisco on Sunday and the Warriors won fairly easily 113-101 behind 46 points from Steph Curry. His shooting percentages are quite a bit better at home, which isn't a shock as guys get used to their own gym's background. The Warriors have covered six straight at the Chase Center; I'm not giving the 3.5 points but obviously if they cover again that's a win on the moneyline. The Grizz, who beat San Antonio on Wednesday in Memphis, are 1-7 ATS in their past eight after a win. Check the news feed Friday morning for Curry's betting O/U point total -- hint: It will be VERY high.
The Grizzlies have won six of their last seven (2-4-1 ATS), and the only loss over that span was at Golden State (-3) in the last game of the regular season, 113-101. The Grizzlies have stayed Under in seven of their last eight, and the defense has been a big difference in their success lately. But this game being at Golden State will sway the momentum the Warriors' way. The Warriors have covered their last seven games (6-1 straight up). Golden State with the cover.