The Bulls fought the Bucks to the wire in their meeting last Thursday, getting within three in the final 2 minutes before Milwaukee pulled away and won by nine. Milwaukee appears to have matchup issues with Zach LaVine and rookie Coby White, both of whom had monster games. Six Bulls also scored in double figures. The road-strong Bucks have won six of their last seven away from home. They might do so again Monday, but Chicago should have an improved effort coming off its loss to Brooklyn.

My model says that the Bucks cover the spread 68 percent of the time, so you're getting strong value playing Milwaukee at this point spread. The Bucks have won seven of eight after splitting their first four games this season. Milwaukee is riding a seven-game winning streak against Chicago that includes a nine-point triumph at home on Thursday. The team also is perfect ATS in its last six trips to the Windy City.

The Bucks haven’t been slowed down by Khris Middleton’s thigh injury. He missed both of their last two games - a nine-point win over Chicago and a 19-point victory against Indiana. The Bulls have been an embarrassment of late as their most recent loss was Saturday's six-point setback against Brooklyn, which was without Kyrie Irving (shoulder) and Caris LeVert (thumb). This is a big line, but I think the Bucks win going away, so I’ll take them to cover.