Golden State had Game 4 in the bag before a fourth-quarter collapse got the Rockets back into it. It should serve as a wake-up call to a Warriors team that's has superior overall talent, size and depth. Expect a motivated Kevin Durant to have a huge impact. Take Golden State.

So far, the Warriors and Rockets have traded blows in the Western Conference Finals, with the clubs alternating wins on the opponent's floor and each managing a decisive home win. Houston overcame a 12-point deficit to take Game 4 in Oakland and regain home-court advantage in the series. But the depth-challenged Rockets appeared spent by the final buzzer, and Game 5 on Thursday comes with a short turnaround. Golden State could benefit from the return of Andre Iguodala, who missed Tuesday's game with a knee injury. Look for Golden State to bounce back and land a haymaker with another road victory in Game 5.

This total has taken a nearly eight-point dip from the closing mark of 227 that we saw in Game 4 of the Western Conference Finals. Sure, the Warriors and Rockets played a more grinding tempo than we're used to seeing, but long cold streaks by both teams contributed to the Under in Houston's 95-92 win. This is a major overreaction. My data sees at least 229 points scored in Game 5, and the Over is cashing in nearly 70 percent of simulations. Jump on this vulnerable total and the Over on Thursday.