Warriors star Stephen Curry is rarely criticized or doubted, but his subpar play on the first two games of the Western Conference Finals has received some attention. Curry insists his health isn't an issue, and he has historically responded with a big game following a disappointing one. The chance for him to at least temporarily silence doubters comes Sunday night in the first home game of the series. Houston salvaged a home split in Game 2, and it feels unlikely the Rockets will be able to duplicate their performance. Back the favorite in Game 3.

My simulations have the Warriors and Rockets combining for at least 233 points Sunday in Game 3 of the Western Conference Finals. This whopping offensive output is more than enough to send this Over the total, which is hitting in 62 percent of simulations. The winning team has carried the total in each of the first two games. Game 1 went Under by a half-point when Houston went cold in the second half, while the Rockets led the way to an Over in a 127-105 Game 2 win. The pace should be there again in Game 3 -- back the Over.

The Warriors have been giving way too many points this season, which is a big reason why they're among the worst teams against the spread. But Game 2's result is at least keeping it at a respectable spread. We've seen great adjusting from each coach so far, resulting in two impressive wins. Now what? Look for the Warriors to take advantage of the home court and reclaim the series lead with yet-another double-digit result in this series. Lay the points.