Who knew Otto Porter was worth four points to the spread? When news broke that the Washington swingman (10 ppg, 5 rpg in the playoffs) was injured and out Friday in Game 6 against the Raptors, the Wizards went from a 2.5-point favorite at most outlets to a slight underdog. No doubt Washington will miss Porter, who at his best is a super-valuable third option behind John Wall and Bradley Beal. But this feels like an overreaction, and the value is on Washington in a series that appears destined to go the ufll seven games.

The Wizards have won eight straight home playoff games, but I think that streak ends tonight. Look for DeMar DeRozan (10 of 22 from deep in the series) to carry the Raptors to the next round. Lay the small number.

The home team has won and covered all five games in this series, but the boost of a healthy John Wall for Washington still isn't being factored in enough here. In two of the three games at Toronto, the Wizards were equal or capable of winning. In both of their home games, the Wizards were noticeably the better team. The Wizards even the series Friday. .

Toronto came up with a big second half to beat Washington in Game 5. Toronto led in Game 4 until the fourth quarter when the Wizards took over to even the series. This one has gone far enough for Toronto, a team that was -1 in Game 4 in Washington. I think Toronto wins by three.