Ranger Suarez has pitched very well for the Red Sox this year, but they've only won six of his 13 starts. The good news about him is that he's allowed only four home runs in 70 innings pitched, striking out 70 and posting an ERA of 3.21. He should have more wins with those types of figures, but he pitches for the Red Sox, who are 29-43 this season and only average 3.92 runs per game. I think Suarez is a nice complement to Bryce Miller in keeping this game under the total, with his 1.54 ERA and only six runs allowed in 35 innings. Under is the play.