Alex Bregman is listed at +450 on DK today, while our model sets his odds closer to +410. Bregman has been locked in at the plate — just two games ago he went 5-for-5 with two home runs, and while he didn’t homer yesterday, he drew two walks and didn’t strike out once, which indicates he’s seeing the ball well. He’ll face rookie Shane Smith today, who has yet to allow a home run in the majors, but he is in a tough spot against a strong Boston lineup today. With wind blowing out on a warm day in Boston — ideal HR conditions — the rookie may be in for a rude awakening. Bregman is in a great spot to do some damage here.

Sorry, but I'm always taking +2.5 in an MLB game. Maybe LaMarr Hoyt, Alex Fernandez or Black Jack McDowell will be available for the Pale Hose. Actually my favorites were southpaws: Floyd Bannister and Britt Burns. Back then, you could throw "junk" like John Tudor or Frank Tanana and thrive (grounder to second, grounder to short, pop up to catcher). Miss that ...