Pepiot went 5.2 and 6.0 innings in his first two starts before being pulled after five last time out as he struggled some. The Rays have used their bullpen extensively in this series so they need some distance from their starter. I'll generally back Over 15.5 outs because managers usually allow their starters to begin the sixth inning if all is going well. Just maybe not finish it. Getaway game for the Angels so perhaps they give Mike Trout off? If so, I'll come back and play the side.

A home run with two outs in the 5th inning sunk Pepiot in his last start when we played the over 15.5 outs but I think this a good enough spot to go back to the well. The Rays' closer blew the game yesterday, and they've used a fairly heavy share of the bullpen the last couple of days, so Pepiot should be relied upon to get a bit deeper here. After this game, the Rays travel to NY to face the Yankees, and I'd imagine getting through this game with as little bullpen used as possible would be ideal for Cash and the Rays. Pepiot has been one of the better starters for Tampa Bay, and has gone over this line in 2/3 starts.

We're working with a tiny MLB slate today but this was by my favorite K prop on the board. Griffin Canning has not looked good through three starts and sports a 9.88 ERA to go along with a 1.88 WHIP, all career lows for Canning. At first glance his strikeout numbers appear in line with what we've come to expect (roughly 1.0 K per inning), however if we look under the hood his SwStrk% is 8.9%, in addition to possessing a 80.3% contact% which are both career worst marks by a fairly significant. I would argue that he's run hot in Ks and this line should be 4.5 in his present form.