The Orioles send Grayson Rodriguez to the mound Tuesday, and he's pitched well over his first three starts, averaging six innings and seven Ks while posting a 2.50 ERA. He gets to face a Twins team that is one of five in the majors to strike out at least 10 times per game and is near the bottom of the league in runs scored, with just one game over four runs in their last 10. Similar offensive struggles should allow Rodriguez to pitch at least six innings and get seven Ks, and I'll take the better value on the strikeout prop.

The Twins just can't match the Orioles offensively, but then few teams can when the O's are humming as they were Monday. Grayson Rodriguez starts Tuesday on the hill and hasn't allowed more than two earned in a regular-season start since Aug. 22 of last year. If that trend continues, the O's are winning as they should put up some numbers against Chris Paddack.

Twins bats looked better Mon but they got to t-off on a crappy lefty. Grayson Rodriguez has ace stuff and will be tough on this RH-heavy lineup. Orioles getting more bats going after slow offensive start, longball flying out as it warms up. Chris Paddack has allowed 18 hits in 13 1/3. Twins decimated by injuries