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Tyler Glasnow has looked sharp in both of his outings since joining the Dodgers, with both starts resulting in wins for LA. He will face an underrated SF lineup tonight who has the 7th highest walk rate so far, paired with the 12th highest OPS. Glasnow rarely eclipses 85-90 pitches so if the Giants can make him work, I believe he'll have some trouble making it through six innings. At this price, I believe this fade is worth a shot/presents some solid value.
Granted, the only two Dodgers scorelines that have landed "under" came in games started by Tyler Glasnow (including the opener two weeks ago in Seoul vs. the Padres), but the Big Blue offense has scored at least five runs in every game thus far and is a big reason that LA is on a 6-1 "over" run into Wednesday. Though Kyle Harrison was effective on the mound for the Giants in his 2024 debut last week at San Diego, Bob Melvin is going to have to make use of his bullpen tonight, and prior to Tuesday the Dodgers had been doing a lot of roughing up enemy relievers. Play Giants-Dodgers "Over"

Despite being hit hard at a 50% clip, Kyle Harrison still made it through six innings against the Padres in his first start. A three run lead helped him go deeper into that game though, and I'm thinking the Giants will not have such a luxury on Wednesday. Harrison also failed to reach 80 pitches in his final start this spring and his first regular season outing. With an off day on Thursday and this being a night game, the Dodgers should roll with a normal lineup, but I never put it past Dave Roberts to surprise me. Nonetheless, I like being on the other side of 15 outs here, where we win if Harrison does not record an out in the 6th inning.
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