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    Fri 05/26 | 6:20 PM UTC | Chicago
    SpreadMoney Lineo/u
    Cincinnati Reds 28-33, +87 ML
    CIN +1.5-170
    CIN +126
    Over 6.5-120
    Chi. Cubs 26-34, -723 ML
    CHC -1.5+143
    CHC -150
    Under 6.5+100

    Expert Picks

    MLB | Cincinnati 9 @ Chi. Cubs 0 | 05/26 | 6:20 PM UTC

    Chi. Cubs -155

    LOSS

    ANALYSIS: Cubs starter Justin Steele is 4-0 with a 1.48 ERA at home in five starts. He hasn't allowed a home run in his last 42.1 innings dating to the first inning April 19 in Oakland. That's the fifth-longest active streak among N.L. pitchers. Cincinnati has paid off for me nicely at home this season, but the Reds are 7-15 on the road. Outfielder TJ Friedl was activated earlier this week for the series against St. Louis and was 4-fof-7 in it with two doubles and a steal but isn't in the lineup today. Neither is Jake Fraley (.263, 33 RBIs, 6 SB). Hunter Greene is always capable of seven shutout innings but there's a reason he's 0-4.

    author-image

    Matt Severance

    Severance Pays
    +990 16-4 IN LAST 20 MLB ML PICKS
    +1325 47-23 IN LAST 70 CHC ML PICKS

    Season Splits

    28-33, +87 ML
    26-34, -723 ML
    All Games
    ALL
    All Games
    43%
    22-29, -328
    22-28, -621
    44%
    On Road
    LOCATION
    At Home
    34%
    8-15, -453
    13-13, -38
    50%
    As Underdog or Even
    STATUS
    As Favorite
    41%
    16-23, -180
    12-11, -222
    52%
    When Line was +109 to +139
    MONEY LINE
    When Line was -161 to -131
    36%
    7-12, -324
    4-2, +85
    66%
    As Road Underdog
    LOCATION & STATUS
    As Home Favorite
    33%
    6-12, -305
    7-5, +40
    58%
    vs Teams That Win <46% of Games
    OPP WIN%
    vs Teams That Win <46% of Games
    47%
    11-12, +17
    7-9, -330
    43%
    vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
    OPP DEFENSE
    vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
    48%
    16-17, +276
    14-20, -673
    41%
    3rd game without a day off
    REST
    3rd game without a day off
    42%
    16-22, -135
    13-22, -957
    37%
    vs CHC
    HEAD TO HEAD
    vs CIN
    66%
    2-1, +124
    1-2, -124
    33%
    when Hunter Greene starts
    PROJECTED STARTER
    when Justin Steele starts
    27%
    3-8, -480
    6-5, +32
    54%