Cubs starter Justin Steele is 4-0 with a 1.48 ERA at home in five starts. He hasn't allowed a home run in his last 42.1 innings dating to the first inning April 19 in Oakland. That's the fifth-longest active streak among N.L. pitchers. Cincinnati has paid off for me nicely at home this season, but the Reds are 7-15 on the road. Outfielder TJ Friedl was activated earlier this week for the series against St. Louis and was 4-fof-7 in it with two doubles and a steal but isn't in the lineup today. Neither is Jake Fraley (.263, 33 RBIs, 6 SB). Hunter Greene is always capable of seven shutout innings but there's a reason he's 0-4.

The Reds are just 7-15 on the road this season. Of their seven road wins, two of them came against the struggling Athletics. They could have a difficult time scoring runs against Justin Steele, who has allowed two or fewer earned runs in eight of his 10 starts. Hunter Greene will start for the Reds, and while he misses a ton of bats, he also has a 4.68 ERA and a 1.50 WHIP. Look the Cubs to come away with the win here.