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Thu 07/01 | 11:20 PM UTC | Atlanta
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
N.Y. Mets 41-35, -135 ML
NYM -1.5
NYM -172
Over 7
Atlanta Braves 38-41, -954 ML
ATL +1.5
ATL +157
Under 7

Expert Picks

N.Y. Mets 3 @ Atlanta 4 | 07/01 | 11:20 PM UTC

Atlanta +147

WIN

ANALYSIS: Yes, I know Degrom is starting, and yes I know the Mets have a good bullpen. But the Braves just put up 20 runs last night and it is supposed to be 89 degrees and humid tonight, so I don’t think Degrom will pitch deeper than seven innings even if he pitches a gem. Not to mention, that helps the hitting conditions. Ian Anderson didn’t allow a run in his most recent outing against the Mets and he is more than capable of keeping this game close. The Mets score the second fewest runs per game in the league and the Mets are 17-24 on the road. Take the dog.

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John Bollman

The Executive
+38 9-6 IN LAST 15 MLB ML PICKS
+347 3-0 IN LAST 3 ATL ML PICKS
+122 2-1 IN LAST 3 NYM ML PICKS

Season Splits

41-35, -135 ML
38-41, -954 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
53%
41-35, -135
38-41, -955
48%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
41%
17-24, -709
21-21, -640
50%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or Even
60%
26-17, -107
11-15, -192
42%
When Line was -172 to -142
MONEY LINE
When Line was +132 to +162
66%
6-3, +90
1-0, +147
100%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
40%
6-9, -506
3-3, +40
50%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
48%
14-15, -137
15-14, -87
51%
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing <3.9 Runs
59%
25-17, +236
9-16, -809
36%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
56%
27-21, +179
28-25, -188
52%
vs ATL
HEAD TO HEAD
vs NYM
60%
6-4, +281
4-6, -323
40%
when Jacob deGrom starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Ian Anderson starts
76%
10-3, +158
8-7, -96
53%