When picking the Over for this game, cohort Justin Perri mentioned the White Sox's powerful lineup. Well, it's not going to be very powerful Tuesday with the loss of five-tool outfielder Luis Robert for 3-4 months (see news feed) on top of Eloy Jimenez perhaps out for the season plus no DH in the National League park -- which means AL Rookie of the Month for April Yermin Mercedes (second in AL with .395 average) will be relegated to pinch-hitting. Thus, I think the Reds are good runline home value behind pitcher Jeff Hoffman, who has a 1.69 ERA in three home starts.

The Over in Reds' home games improved to 11-3 Sunday and now the powerful White Sox lineup rolls into town. Look for this total to hit 9.5 by first pitch. Jump on it now.

My model says the Reds win in almost 60 percent of the simulations, so you're getting good value with them at this number. Cincinnati's homestand against Windy City teams got off to a good start as it took two of three from the Cubs over the weekend. The Reds' bats were working well in the victories as the team recorded 21 runs and 26 hits in those contests. White Sox RHP Dylan Cease did not allow a hit in his only career start against Cincinnati last year but took the loss after issuing seven walks and yielding three runs in three innings. Take the Reds.