The Cubs got three runs off Ross Stripling last week at Wrigley Field in a 4-0 win, their last victory as they've dropped their last five. Jon Lester was pitching that day as well. The Dodgers only average 3.9 runs a game against left-handed starters and have gone 20-6 to the Under against them this season. Stripling has a 1.97 ERA in five home starts. Back the Under on Tuesday.

The Cubs have been slumping at the plate and the pressure Tuesday is on Jon Lester to deliver a strong performance. Expect a pitcher’s duel and for a second straight Under between the Cubs and Dodgers.

The Cubs lineup is a little watered down, but Jon Lester shouldn't be +150 on the road against Ross Stripling. My model has the Cubs winning 46 percent of simulations making them a strong value bet at +150.