I'll say this every time. I hate betting unders. You can't ignore something that has hit every time these guys have played each other since 2022 though. These two clubs have clashed four times over the last two seasons, and over those four matches we saw a total of four goals. Out of the 20 clubs in LaLiga currently, only five are averaging less than one goal scored a match. Two of those five, are Valencia and Rayo Vallecano. I'm playing this for a partial unit because... well it's an under, but this match screams Valencia parking the bus and grinding this game to a slow draw once again.

Under 2.5 goals has paid off in the last five meetings between Rayo Vallecano and Valencia, so this promises to be a low-scoring game. Rayo Vallecano’s home games have averaged just 1.2 goals this season. They’ve scored just 3 times in 5 matches, and they’ve only conceded 3 goals. None of their home games have seen over 2.5 goals, so this isn’t exactly shaping up to be a classic. Valencia’s away record is poor, as they’ve scored just 3 goals in 6 games on the road, so they’re unlikely to cause many problems for Rayo’s tight defense.