The Golden State Warriors visit the Utah Jazz in a marquee Western Conference showdown at 9 p.m. ET on Saturday. Utah is favored by 4.5 points at Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over-Under is set at 223.5 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). 

Before making any Warriors vs. Jazz picks, you NEED to check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 11 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 48-24 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning almost $2,000. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns.

The model knows the Golden State has an elite defense. The Warriors are allowing fewer than 1.02 points per possession, leading the NBA in defensive rating. Opponents are shooting only 42.7 percent from the field and 32.6 percent from 3-point range, top-two marks in both areas. The Warriors also lead the NBA in assists allowed, giving up only 21.4 per game, and Golden State is in the top three in defensive rebound rate at 74.6 percent. The Warriors are also No. 2 in the league in preventing points in the paint, allowing only 41.1 per game.

The model also knows the Jazz are operating at an elite level. Utah is leading the league in offensive rating, scoring more than 1.16 points per possession this season. The Jazz lead the NBA in true shooting percentage and, when Utah misses shots, the Jazz secure nearly 30 percent of available rebounds on the offensive glass. The Jazz are also in the top eight on defense on a per-possession basis, and Utah is a top-10 team in defensive rebounding.

Now, it has set its sights on Warriors vs. Jazz. We can tell you the model is leaning Under the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in over 60 percent of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NBA picks.

Who wins Warriors vs. Jazz? And which side of the spread hits in over 60 percent of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Warriors vs. Jazz spread you should be all over Saturday, all from the model on a roll on NBA picks!