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Warriors vs. Hawks line, picks: Advanced computer NBA model releases selections for Friday matchup

SportsLine's projection model generated selections for Friday's matchup between the Golden State Warriors and the Atlanta Hawks
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The Atlanta Hawks host the Golden State Warriors in a cross-conference matchup at 7:30 p.m. ET on Friday. Atlanta is favored by 2.5 points at Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over-Under is set at 222 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). Steph Curry (foot) remains out for Golden State. 

Before making any Warriors vs. Hawks picks, you NEED to check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 22 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 79-49 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,400. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns.

The model knows the Warriors are above-average on offense, including the league's best assist percentage. Defense leads the way for Golden State, though, as the Warriors allow only 1.06 points per possession. Golden State is No. 2 in the NBA in field-goal accuracy allowed at 43.7 percent, and opponents are shooting only 33.9 percent from 3-point range. The Warriors are also in the top six of the league in assists allowed, turnovers created, steals, defensive rebound rate and points allowed in the paint.

The model also knows the Hawks are prolific on offense. Atlanta is No. 3 in the NBA in offensive rating, scoring 114.3 points per 100 possessions. The Hawks lead the NBA in ball security, committing a turnover on only 12.1 percent of possessions, and Atlanta produces 2.04 assists for every turnover. The Hawks also rank in the top five of the NBA in both free-throw accuracy and 3-point accuracy, with a top-10 mark in field-goal accuracy at 46.7 percent. Atlanta should also benefit from Golden State's penchant for turnovers, with the Warriors ranking No. 28 in the NBA in turnover rate.

Now, it has set its sights on Warriors vs. Hawks. We can tell you the model is leaning over the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in 60 percent of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NBA picks.

Who wins Warriors vs. Hawks? And which side of the spread hits in 60 percent of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Warriors vs. Hawks spread you should be all over Friday, all from the model on a roll on NBA picks!

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SportsLine Staff

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