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Virginia vs. Notre Dame line, picks: Advanced computer college basketball model releases selections for Saturday's ACC matchup

SportsLine's projection model generated selections for Saturday's matchup between the Virginia Cavaliers and the Notre Dame Fighting Irish

By@SportsLinePublished: Dec 30, 2023 3:15PM UTC . 3 min read

The Virginia Cavaliers visit South Bend to take on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish in an ACC clash at noon ET on Saturday. For this game, SportsLine consensus lists Virginia as a 10-point favorite, while the over/under is set at 116.5 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our college basketball odds page). 

Before making any Virginia vs. Notre Dame picks, you NEED to check out the college basketball predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. It enters Week 8 of the 2023-24 season on a 101-64 roll on all top-rated college basketball picks dating back to last season, returning more than $2,000 for $100 players. It is also off to a sizzling 11-3 start on top-rated spread picks this season. Anyone following has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows Virginia's defense is top-notch. The Cavaliers are allowing only 54.5 points per game and 0.872 points per possession this season, ranking in the top five of the country in both categories. Virginia is also holding opponents to 42.2% shooting inside the arc, and the Cavaliers create havoc. Tony Bennett's team creates a turnover on more than 23% of possessions and a steal on almost 15% of defensive trips, landing in the top 10 nationally.

The model also knows Notre Dame has a dynamic shot creator in freshman guard Markus Burton. He is averaging 16.0 points per game this season, including 17.6 points per game in the last five outings. Burton has at least 13 points in five straight games, and Notre Dame has the clear edge at the free throw line in this matchup. The Irish also allow fewer than 12 assists per game on defense.

Now, it has set its sights on Virginia vs. Notre Dame. We can tell you the model is leaning Over the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 60% of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any college basketball picks.

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