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UTSA vs. Troy line, picks: Advanced computer college football model releases selections for Cure Bowl matchup

SportsLine's projection model generated selections for Friday's matchup between the No. 22 UTSA Roadrunners and the No. 23 Troy Trojans in the Cure Bowl 2022

By@SportsLineUpdated: Dec 16, 2022 7:15PM UTC . 3 min read

The 2022 Cure Bowl, the only bowl game to feature a pair of conference champions, will pit the No. 22 UTSA Roadrunners against the No. 23 Troy Trojans on Friday afternoon. The Roadrunners (11-2), who went 8-0 in Conference USA, defeated North Texas 48-27 in the conference championship on Dec. 2. The Trojans (11-2), who were 7-1 in the Sun Belt, cruised to a 45-26 win over Coastal Carolina in the Sun Belt Championship Game. This will be the first time the teams have met.    

The game from Exploria Stadium in Orlando, Florida, kicks off at 3 p.m. ET. UTSA is favored by 3 points at Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is set at 56.5 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our college football odds page). 

Before making any UTSA vs. Troy picks, you NEED to check out the college football predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $2,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen HUGE returns.

The model knows the Trojans are led by junior quarterback Gunnar Watson, who completes 61.9% of his passes. He connected on 193 of 312 attempts for 2,705 yards and 13 touchdowns with 10 interceptions for a rating of 142 this season. He has also rushed for a pair of scores. In the Sun Belt Conference title game win over Coastal Carolina, Watson completed 12 of 17 passes (70.6%) for 318 yards and three touchdowns. It was his fourth 300-plus passing game of the year. 

The model also knows the Roadrunners are led by dual-threat senior quarterback Frank Harris. Harris has completed 305 of 429 passes (71.1%) for 3,865 yards and 31 touchdowns with just seven interceptions and a rating of 167.4. He has also rushed 120 times for 588 yards (4.9 average) and nine scores. In the Conference USA title game win over North Texas, Harris completed 32 of 37 passes (86.5%) for 341 yards and four touchdowns. He also rushed 16 times for 49 yards (3.1 average) and one touchdown.

Now, it has set its sights on UTSA vs. Troy. We can tell you the model is leaning Under the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in almost 60% of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any college football picks.

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