The Oklahoma City Thunder will take on the Miami Heat at 8 p.m. ET on Monday at Paycom Center. OKC is 5-7 overall and 3-3 at home, while Miami is 8-5 overall and 4-4 on the road. The Heat are ranked second in the Southeast Division; Oklahoma City is ranked fourth in the Northwest Division. 

Miami is favored by nine points in the latest Thunder vs. Heat odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and the over-under is set at 209. Before making any Heat vs. Thunder picks or predictions, you'll want to see what the SportsLine Projection Model is saying.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $9,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 5 of the 2021-22 NBA season up over $900 on all top-rated NBA picks this season. It's also on a stunning 113-75 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread that dates back to last season. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, it has simulated Thunder vs. Heat 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Under, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in over 50 percent of simulations. You absolutely need to see it before locking in your own picks.

So who wins Thunder vs. Heat? And which side of the spread is a must-back? Join SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has crushed its NBA picks.