The Miami Heat and the Oklahoma City Thunder meet in a cross-conference game at 7:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday. Miami is favored by 2 points at Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is set at 222 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). Before making any Thunder vs. Heat picks, you NEED to check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model enters Week 13 of the 2022-23 NBA season on a stunning 43-19 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning more than $2,100. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows the Thunder are led by a star in Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. He is averaging 30.9 points per game on 50.1% shooting and Gilgeous-Alexander leads the league in free throws made this season. Oklahoma City is also No. 3 in the NBA in points in the paint (55.5 per game) and in the top five in turnover rate (13.5%) on the offensive end. 

The model also knows the Heat take care of the ball at an elite level, committing only 13.4 turnovers per game. On defense, Miami leads the league in points allowed in the paint (44.8 per game), with top-three marks in free throw prevention, fast break points allowed, and turnovers created.

Now, it has set its sights on Thunder vs. Heat. We can tell you the model is leaning Under the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NBA picks.

Who wins Thunder vs. Heat? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Thunder vs. Heat spread you should be all over Tuesday, all from the model on a roll on NBA picks!