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Suns vs. Bucks line, picks: Advanced computer NBA model releases selections for Sunday matchup

SportsLine's projection model generated selections for Sunday's matchup between the Phoenix Suns and the Milwaukee Bucks

By@SportsLineUpdated: Mar 06, 2022 6:23PM UTC . 3 min read

The Milwaukee Bucks host the Phoenix Suns in a high-profile NBA matchup at 3:30 p.m. ET on Sunday. Milwaukee is favored by nine points at Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over-Under is set at 232 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). Before making any Suns vs. Bucks picks, you NEED to check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 19 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 71-44 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,100. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns.

The model knows the Suns are very good on defense, but Phoenix is also potent on offense. The Suns are scoring 113.7 points per 100 possessions this season, No. 3 in the NBA, with top-five marks in field goal percentage, two-point percentage, and three-point percentage. Phoenix is also No. 5 in the league in assists, averaging 27.1 per game, and the Suns generate 2.09 assists for every turnover. Phoenix assists on 63 percent of field goals, and the Suns produce 48.8 points in the paint per game.

The model also knows Milwaukee's offense generates 1.13 points per possession. That ranks near the top of the NBA for the season, with the Bucks ranking in the top six of the league in three-pointers and three-point percentage. Milwaukee takes care of the ball with a turnover rate of only 13.5 percent, and the Bucks create nearly 23 free throw attempts per game. Milwaukee also has an above-average defense from a statistical standpoint, and Phoenix struggles to produce free throw attempts on offense.

Now, it has set its sights on Suns vs. Bucks. We can tell you the model is leaning under the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in over 50 percent of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NBA picks.

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