Spurs vs. Pelicans line, picks: Advanced computer NBA model releases selections for Saturday matchup

The New Orleans Pelicans host the San Antonio Spurs for a Western Conference matchup at 5 p.m. ET on Saturday. New Orleans is favored by 6.5 points at Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over-Under is set at 232.5 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). 

Before making any Spurs vs. Pelicans picks, you NEED to check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 22 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 79-49 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,400. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns.

The model knows the Spurs are elite in passing the basketball. San Antonio leads the NBA in assists, averaging 28.0 per game, and the Spurs also lead the league with 2.19 assists per turnover. The Spurs turn the ball over on only 12.6 percent of possessions, and San Antonio produces an assist on 64.5 percent of field goals. San Antonio also generates advantages on the offensive glass, securing 28.3 percent of available rebounds and averaging 14.2 second-chance points per game.

The model also knows the Pelicans have a huge advantage in the possession battle. New Orleans is in the top five of the NBA in rebounding on both ends, securing 30.1 percent of missed shots on offense and holding opponents to only 25.6 percent on defense. The Pelicans are also in the top six of the NBA in second-chance points created and allowed, and New Orleans is a top-10 team in fast-break points, free-throw attempts, and free-throw accuracy. On defense, New Orleans are also in the top quarter of the league in fast-break points allowed and points allowed in the paint, with San Antonio struggling to create free-throw attempts. 

Now, it has set its sights on Spurs vs. Pelicans. We can tell you the model is leaning under the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 60 percent of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NBA picks.

Who wins Spurs vs. Pelicans? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Spurs vs. Pelicans spread you should be all over Saturday, all from the model on a roll on NBA picks!