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Reds vs. Phillies odds, line, start time, picks, best bets for July 4 matchup from proven model

SportsLine's projection model, which is on a 39-30 roll on top-rated MLB picks, has locked in its MLB picks for the Reds vs. Phillies on Friday

ByPublished: Jul 04, 2025 11:51AM UTC . 2 min read

The Philadelphia Phillies (51-36) have the Cincinnati Reds (45-42) coming into town to square off on July 4th. The Reds were victorious in their previous game, defeating the Boston Red Sox 8-4 on July 2. Similarly, Philadelphia took down the San Diego Padres 5-1 in their last outing. 

First pitch is scheduled for 1:05 p.m. ET at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia. The Phillies are the -160 money-line favorites (bet $160 to win $100) in the latest Reds vs. Phillies odds, while the Reds are +134 underdogs (bet $100 to win $134). The over/under for total runs scored is 8.5 in the latest MLB odds. 

Before you make any Reds vs. Phillies picks or MLB predictions, you need to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It entered Week 15 of the 2025 MLB season on a profitable 39-30 run on top-rated MLB sides picks. It has excelled making home run prop picks this season, returning more than 24 units of profit. Anybody following could have seen strong returns!

The model has simulated Reds vs. Phillies 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you the model is going Over on the run total, and it also says one side of the money line has all the value!

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Richard Louis

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