Reds vs. Marlins odds, line, prediction: 2026 MLB picks for Thursday afternoon from proven model

The Miami Marlins look to secure a series split when they battle the Cincinnati Reds in the fourth and final game on Thursday afternoon. Miami is coming off a 7-4 win over Cincinnati on Wednesday. The Reds (8-4), who had a five-game winning streak stopped, are 5-1 on the road this season. The Marlins (7-5), who snapped a two-game losing streak, are 6-3 on their home field in 2026.

First pitch from loanDepot Park in Miami is set for 12:10 p.m. ET. The Reds lead the all-time series 139-107, and have won five of the last seven meetings. Miami is a -128 favorite on the money line (risk $128 to win $100) in the latest Reds vs. Marlins odds, while the over/under, is 8. Before making any Reds vs. Marlins picks, or MLB predictions, you NEED to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It was a profitable 35-29 on top-rated MLB money-line picks last season. It also excelled at making home run prop picks in 2025, returning nearly 30 units of profit. Anybody following could have seen strong returns!

The model has simulated Reds vs. Marlins 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is going Over on the total, and is also says one side of the money line has ALL the value!

Who wins Reds vs. Marlins, and which side of the money line has ALL the value? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Reds vs. Marlins money line you should be all over, all from the model on a 35-29 roll on top-rated MLB money-line picks!