The Las Vegas Raiders (1-3) will battle the division-leading Kansas City Chiefs (3-1) in a key AFC West showdown on Monday Night Football. The Chiefs have won the last three meetings in the series. Kansas City is a 7-point favorite in the Raiders vs. Chiefs odds at Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is 51.5. 

Before making any Raiders vs. Chiefs picks, you NEED to check out the NFL predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model entered Week 5 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 140-105 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

The model knows Kansas City quarterback Patrick Mahomes continues to dominate the opposition, especially when it's the Raiders. In seven career starts against the Raiders, he has 24 touchdowns, including 22 passing, with three interceptions and a 112.4 rating. He will try for his third game in a row against Las Vegas with zero interceptions and a 125 or better rating.

The model also knows Las Vegas quarterback Derek Carr has had success against Kansas City in the past and is hoping to continue that trend. He will be looking for his fifth game in a row versus the Chiefs with 250 or more passing yards and has two or more TD passes and a 95 or better rating in three of his past four games against them. He has won four of his past five starts on Monday Night Football.

Now, it has set its sights on Raiders vs. Chiefs. We can tell you the model is leaning Over the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NFL picks.

Who wins Raiders vs. Chiefs on Monday Night Football? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Raiders vs. Chiefs spread you should be all over Monday, all from the model on a 140-105 roll on NFL picks!