Nuggets vs. Warriors odds, line: Proven model reveals picks for NBA matchup on Sunday, February 22

The Denver Nuggets battle the Golden State Warriors in a key Western Conference matchup on Sunday afternoon. Denver is coming off a 157-103 win at Portland on Friday, while Golden State dropped a 121-110 decision to the Boston Celtics on Thursday. The Nuggets (36-21), the third seed in the West, are 21-10 on the road in 2025-26. The Warriors (29-27), who hold the eighth seed in the conference, are 18-11 on their home court. Denver is expected to be without Peyton Watson (hamstring) and Aaron Gordon (hamstring), while Golden State won't have Stephen Curry (knee).

Tip-off from Chase Center in San Francisco is set for 3:30 p.m. ET. The Nuggets lead the all-time series 110-87, but the teams have split two meetings this season. Denver is a 4.5-point favorite in the latest Nuggets vs. Warriors odds from DraftKings Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 230.5. 

Before making any Nuggets vs. Warriors picks, you NEED to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

SportsLine's model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past eight-plus seasons. The model exited the NBA All-Star break on a sizzling 38-17 roll on top-rated NBA spread picks dating back to last season. Anyone following could have seen HUGE returns!

The model has simulated Nuggets vs. Warriors 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is going Over on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread hits nearly 60% of the time!

Who wins Nuggets vs. Warriors, and which side of the spread hits nearly 60% of the time? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the spread you should be all over, all from the model on a 38-17 roll on top-rated NBA picks!