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No. 3 Michigan vs. Illinois odds, line: Advanced computer college football model releases spread pick for Saturday's Big Ten game

SportsLine's projection model has generated selections for the matchup between the Wolverines and Illini

By@SportsLinePublished: Nov 19, 2022 2:48PM UTC . 3 min read

The No. 3 Michigan Wolverines will try to keep their undefeated season intact when they host the Illinois Fighting Illini in a Big Ten game on Saturday at Michigan Stadium in Ann Arbor, Mich. The Wolverines (10-0) are in the thick of the College Football Playoff race. One week after facing Illinois, Michigan takes on rival Ohio State in the game of the year in the Big Ten. Meanwhile the Illini (7-3) are looking for their first eight-win season since the Rose Bowl year of 2007.

Kickoff is 12 p.m. ET. The Wolverines are 17.5-point favorites in the latest Michigan vs. Illinois odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 41.5. (See up-to-date odds for every game this week on our college football odds page.)

Before you make any Illinois vs. Michigan picks or college football predictions, see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed the model has seen huge returns.

The model knows that Michigan has arguably the best defense in the country. The Wolverines lead the country in multiple defensive categories, including scoring defense (11.2 points per game), total defense (232.8 yards per game) and rushing defense (72.7). Last week they gave up just three points and 146 yards to Nebraska, the second fewest allowed in each category by Michigan this season.

The model also knows that Illinois has one of the best running backs in the country in Chase Brown. The 5-foot-11 junior from Ontario ranks second in the nation in rushing yards per game (144.2) and third in all-purpose yards per game (161.5). After leaving the final minute of last week's game with a right leg injury, coach Bret Bielema said Monday that Brown is "trending in the right direction" to play against Michigan.

Now, the model has set its sights on Michigan vs. Illinois. We can tell you it is leaning Over the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any college football picks.

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