The No. 10 North Carolina Tar Heels (20-6) and the Virginia Cavaliers (20-7) square off in an ACC tilt on Saturday at 4 p.m. ET. North Carolina is a 2.5-point favorite in the latest North Carolina vs. Virginia odds via SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 131 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our college basketball odds page). 

Before making any North Carolina vs. Virginia picks, you need to check out the college basketball predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. It enters Week 16 of the 2023-24 season on a 136-89 roll on all top-rated college basketball picks dating back to last season, returning nearly $2,500 for $100 players. It is also off to a sizzling 25-13 start on top-rated spread picks this season. Anyone following has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows North Carolina senior guard RJ Davis is an athletic, smooth-scoring threat in the backcourt. Davis uses his speed to his advantage when attacking the rim. The New York native ranks ninth in the nation (21.3) with 3.6 assists per game. In his last outing, Davis dropped 20 points and five assists.

The model also knows Virginia senior guard Reece Beekman impacts the game in a variety of ways. Beekman is productive as a playmaker while getting the lane consistently. The Wisconsin native averages 13.9 points, 5.8 assists and 2.2 steals per game. On Feb. 13, Davis totaled 19 points, six rebounds and five assists.

Now, the model has set its sights on North Carolina vs. Virginia. We can tell you the model is leaning Over on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in more than 60% of simulations! 

Who wins North Carolina vs. Virginia, and which side of the spread hits in more than 60% of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the spread you should be all over, all from that's on a 25-13 roll on top-rated college basketball spread picks!