NFL Week 4 power rankings: New No. 1, plus simulated futures odds for all 32 teams from proven model

The Cowboys took care of business against the Eagles to cap Week 3 in a game where SportsLine went 5-0 on expert picks while also hitting the model leans of Dallas to cover and the Over. After three weeks, there are five undefeated teams remaining coming from three different divisions, and though those divisions might have been predictable when it comes to last undefeated teams remaining (NFC West, AFC West, NFC South), the group of 3-0 teams doesn't include the two teams who played in last season's Super Bowl and entered this season as favorites to win the title. Instead, it's the Denver Broncos, Las Vegas Raiders, Carolina Panthers, Los Angeles Rams and Arizona Cardinals sitting with unblemished records heading into Week 4.

Updated NFL futures odds from Caesars Sportsbook still make the 1-2 Kansas City Chiefs the favorite to win the Super Bowl at +600, with the 2-1 Tampa Bay Buccaneers in second at +650. Next up are the undefeated Rams at +800 and the 2-1 Buffalo Bills at +1000. As for the other undefeated teams, the Cardinals sit at +2500, the Broncos check in at +3000, the Raiders are listed at +4000 and the Panthers bring up the rear at +5000. 

Before you place any futures bets on who wins the Super Bowl and each conference or division, you need to see what the SportsLine Projection model has to say.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,800 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. It went a sizzling 24-14 on top-rated NFL picks last season, returning more than $800. The model also enters Week 3 of the 2021 season on an incredible 122-81 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick 'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is WAY UP.

Below, you can find the power ranking for all 32 teams based on the model's "neutral sim%," which is calculated based on the number of simulations they win playing healthy (in February) vs. every other team on a neutral field. You'll also find the simulation's projection for how often each team wins their division, conference and the Super Bowl, compared to the current available odds, along with notes from the model's creator, Stephen Oh.

Which team has ascended to the No. 1 spot in the power rankings? And which undefeated teams offer positive value on their Super Bowl odds? ... Join SportsLine right now to see Week 4 power rankings from the proven NFL model which has delivered consistent positive value on its picks!