NFL Week 14 power rankings: Cardinals move into top two, plus futures odds, sim projections for all 32 teams

The Arizona Cardinals have their quarterback and No. 1 receiver back on the field, and even though the final stat line wasn't eye-popping, Kyler Murray and Co. took care of business on the road to move to 10-2 and maintain the No. 1 seed in the NFC. Our model believes the Cardinals are a great value in the futures market right now, including to win the NFC, where we peg Arizona with a 1-in-3 chance to advance to the Super Bowl while their +380 odds represent a little better than a 1-in-5 chance. The Cardinals will face a big test against the Los Angeles Rams on Monday night but already beat the Rams in Los Angeles convincingly earlier in the year.

Updated NFL futures odds from Caesars Sportsbook make the Tampa Bay Buccaneers the favorites to win the Super Bowl at +525, with the Chiefs holding strong in the second spot at +650. The Green Bay Packers stay in the third spot at +750 during their bye. Next are the Cardinals and New England Patriots at +800, with the latter coming off a big divisional win on the road in ugly weather. The Buffalo Bills sink to +1000, followed by the Dallas Cowboys at +1200, the Los Angeles Rams at +1300 and the Baltimore Ravens at +1500. The only other teams shorter than +4000 are the Tennessee Titans (+2200) and the Los Angeles Chargers (+2500).

Before you place any futures bets on who wins the Super Bowl and each conference or division, you need to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,200 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. The model enters Week 14 of the 2021 season on an incredible 132-94 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is WAY UP!

Below, you can find the power ranking for all 32 teams based on the model's "neutral sim%," which is calculated based on the number of simulations they win playing healthy (in February) vs. every other team on a neutral field. You'll also find the simulation's projection for how often each team wins their division, conference and the Super Bowl, compared to the current available odds, along with notes from the model's creator, Stephen Oh.

Which top teams slipped in the rankings despite wins this weekend? And are the Steelers a top-12 team after their win? ... Join SportsLine right now to see Week 14 power rankings from the proven NFL model which has delivered consistent positive value on its picks!