NFL Week 11 power rankings: Chiefs back on the rise, plus futures odds, sim projections for all 32 teams

After a week of chaos in the NFL, Week 10 saw many teams revert back to expectations. The Dallas Cowboys and Buffalo Bills blew out teams they were supposed to beat, while the Kansas City Chiefs finally appeared to fix many of the issues ailing their offense. The New England Patriots made their argument to be included among the league's best as well. But supposed Super Bowl favorites like the Baltimore Ravens, Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Los Angeles Rams struggled as road favorites against what are perceived to be inferior teams.

Perhaps nothing will be more memorable from Week 10 than the Ben Roethlisberger-less Pittsburgh Steelers playing to a draw against the last remaining winless team in the league, the Detroit Lions. That tie drops the Steelers one spot in our power rankings but still leaves the Steelers with better than 50% projected odds to make the playoffs.

Updated NFL futures odds from Caesars Sportsbook make the Bills and Buccaneers co-favorites to win the Super Bowl at +600. Despite a second straight loss, the Rams are up next at +800, while the Green Bay Packers move into the fourth spot at +900 after a shutout win over the Seattle Seahawks. The Cowboys and Arizona Cardinals are next +1000, while the Chiefs and Tennessee Titans follow at +1100. The only other team south of 25-to-1 odds is the Ravens, who sit at +1300.

Before you place any futures bets on who wins the Super Bowl and each conference or division, you need to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,600 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. The model enters Week 10 of the 2021 season on an incredible 128-88 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is WAY UP.

Below, you can find the power ranking for all 32 teams based on the model's "neutral sim%," which is calculated based on the number of simulations they win playing healthy (in February) vs. every other team on a neutral field. You'll also find the simulation's projection for how often each team wins their division, conference and the Super Bowl, compared to the current available odds, along with notes from the model's creator, Stephen Oh.

How high have the Chiefs climbed after their dominant win over the Raiders? And did the Cowboys finally crack our top five? ... Join SportsLine right now to see Week 11 power rankings from the proven NFL model which has delivered consistent positive value on its picks!