NFL Week 10 ATS power ratings: Aggressive trade deadline moves put Jaguars at top, plus ranking all 32 teams
The Jaguars made major defensive upgrades at the deadline and now sit tied atop our spread power ratings
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I was relatively high on the Jaguars coming into the season, at least until the schedule makers took away two home games -- including a critical matchup with the division-rival Texans -- as part of the international schedule. Coupled with expected regression on the defensive side of the ball, it was enough for me to pull back on my divisional betting for Jacksonville. While the Jaguars did lose that "home" game to the Texans, Houston's early-season skid has still made Jacksonville the class of the AFC South, and several deadline deals have shored up some defensive questions.
On Monday, the Jaguars added defensive tackles Jordan Davis and Davon Godchaux, as well as safety Jessie Bates. Davis can help overcome the loss of DaVon Hamilton, while Bates has graded out as one of the 10 best safeties in the league in three of the past four seasons. Those star defenders join a unit that is already second in scoring to pair with the fourth-best scoring offense.
I have the Jaguars alongside the Bills as my top-rated teams in the league heading into Week 10. The Bills' defense has looked reborn since the bye, even considering the quarterbacks it has faced. With the top NFC contenders in the West all battling injury issues on offense, the balance of power in the NFL seems to have aggressively tipped back to the AFC at the midpoint of the season.
Below, I'll share my Week 10 spread power ratings and go step by step through the notable adjustments. Then, we'll look at my projected spreads for every game, see where we differ from the market, and try to ascertain why those discrepancies exist.
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