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NFL Survivor Pool: Week 16, 2023 pick from advanced computer model

Don't lock in your NFL Week 16 survivor pick until you see the play from the SportsLine Projection Model

By@SportsLineUpdated: Dec 18, 2023 9:37PM UTC . 3 min read

Just three weeks are left in NFL survivor pools, which means 15 teams are already off the board. Chances are, these are the league's heavyweights, which means you may have to take some chances with your Week 16 NFL knockout picks. Perhaps you could back a team like the Jets against the Commanders, in a matchup of disappointing squads? Or, should you get behind the Titans as they host a Seattle team coming off a short week in Week 16 NFL survivor pools?

Before you make your Week 16 NFL survivor picks, you NEED to see which team the SportsLine Projection Model is backing.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 16 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 178-129 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 32-21 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is WAY UP!

The model can be used to crush the Survivor Pool format, which calls for picking one team to win each week but never using the same team twice.

In Week 16 of the 2023 NFL season, we can tell you the model is shying away from the Packers, even though they are 4.5-point road favorites over the Panthers. Green Bay is coming off back-to-back losses in two winnable games versus the Giants on the road and against the Buccaneers at home. Meanwhile, the Panthers secured their second victory last week, and both of their wins this year -- versus Atlanta and Houston -- have come at home against young quarterbacks. That's the scenario in play for Week 16 against first-year starter Jordan Love, who has as many turnovers as touchdowns over this two-game skid. These are some of the reasons why the model is avoiding Green Bay in Week 16 NFL survivor picks.

Instead, the model is backing a team that's dominated its Week 16 opponent in recent meetings! Picking this team will put you in the optimal position to win your NFL survivor pool this week. You NEED to see which team the model is backing before locking in your NFL survivor picks!

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